YEARLY HIGH
83.7534 DJF
YEARLY LOW
63.9238 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
75.3865 DJF

2016 GEL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GEL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 83.7534. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 63.9238.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 19.8296 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 72.9376 to the December average rate of 67.3105, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 83.7534 was down 17.40% compared to the 2015 peak of 101.3951, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 418,767 DJF
2015 Average 407,993 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 319,619 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 99,148.23 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

82.8541
65.8974
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 76.7844, compared to 73.9886 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.7959 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 76.7844
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 73.9886

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 8.3706 DJF (High: 83.7534 / Low: 75.3829). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9373 DJF (High: 72.0579 / Low: 71.1206).

June Spread (Volatile) ±8.3706
February Spread (Stable) ±0.9373

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 5.3769 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.3769

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 81.1381) against the same month in 2015 (average: 78.5289), the exchange rate shifted by +2.6092 (+3.32%).

2016 Avg (June) 81.1381
2015 Avg (June) 78.5289

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 74.0862 71.3880 72.9376
February 72.0579 71.1206 71.5609
March 77.6798 71.9349 74.8695
April 79.8411 77.2479 78.7594
May 83.0650 79.7411 81.4411
June 83.7534 75.3829 81.1381
July 76.6763 75.3268 75.7612
August 78.1617 75.3017 76.5471
September 77.6000 75.9412 76.8236
October 76.1417 74.3062 75.4508
November 74.3600 70.0782 72.0382
December 69.7816 63.9238 67.3105