YEARLY HIGH
108.7449 DJF
YEARLY LOW
101.8020 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
106.6532 DJF

2013 GEL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the GEL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 26, valuing the pair at 108.7449. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 101.8020.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.9429 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 107.0128 to the December average rate of 102.7947, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 108.7449 was down 1.78% compared to the 2012 peak of 110.7115, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 543,724 DJF
2012 Average 534,077 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 509,010 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 34,714.50 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

108.6608
102.2614
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 107.2780, compared to 106.0284 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2496 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 107.2780
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 106.0284

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 3.3072 DJF (High: 105.1092 / Low: 101.8020). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8119 DJF (High: 107.4079 / Low: 106.5959).

December Spread (Volatile) ±3.3072
September Spread (Stable) ±0.8119

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.9285 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.9285

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2013: 108.1276) against the same month in 2012 (average: 110.0993), the exchange rate shifted by -1.9718 (-1.79%).

2013 Avg (May) 108.1276
2012 Avg (May) 110.0993

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 107.4604 106.6123 107.0128
February 107.9185 106.8133 107.1739
March 107.4887 106.3297 106.9296
April 107.6539 106.8295 107.1880
May 108.7449 107.3583 108.1276
June 107.9125 106.1067 107.2363
July 107.7253 106.5770 107.3344
August 107.7008 106.2198 106.8989
September 107.4079 106.5959 106.9506
October 106.9458 105.8530 106.4688
November 106.1627 105.1057 105.7232
December 105.1092 101.8020 102.7947