YEARLY HIGH
67.5522 DJF
YEARLY LOW
55.7627 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
63.3134 DJF

2019 GEL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 67.5522. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 55.7627.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.7895 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 66.4855 to the December average rate of 61.5726, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.39% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 67.5522 was down 7.70% compared to the 2018 peak of 73.1904, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 337,761 DJF
2018 Average 358,003 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 278,814 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 58,947.35 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

67.8269
59.2853
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 65.8396, compared to 60.7871 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.0525 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 65.8396
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 60.7871

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 11.2994 DJF (High: 67.0621 / Low: 55.7627). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5088 DJF (High: 66.3128 / Low: 65.8041).

January Spread (Volatile) ±11.2994
April Spread (Stable) ±0.5088

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2.1404 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.1404

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 67.1151) against the same month in 2018 (average: 72.1968), the exchange rate shifted by -5.0817 (-7.04%).

2019 Avg (February) 67.1151
2018 Avg (February) 72.1968

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 67.0621 55.7627 66.4855
February 67.5522 66.1710 67.1151
March 66.9173 66.0668 66.3810
April 66.3128 65.8041 66.0613
May 65.8226 63.4759 64.7221
June 65.4596 62.2552 64.2727
July 63.7030 59.9495 62.1323
August 61.2909 60.3559 60.7972
September 60.5612 59.7483 60.1409
October 60.4584 59.6482 60.0828
November 60.2854 59.5485 59.9971
December 62.3643 59.9411 61.5726