2014 GEL to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

102.8758 DJF

YEARLY LOW

97.4434 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

101.3950 DJF

2014 GEL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the GEL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 7, valuing the pair at 102.8758. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 3, dropping to 97.4434.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.4324 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 100.9869 to the December average rate of 100.0858, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 102.8758 was down 5.40% compared to the 2013 peak of 108.7449, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 514,379 DJF

2013 Average 533,238 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 487,217 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,161.94 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

102.8208

99.8372

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 101.3995, compared to 101.3906 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0089 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 101.3995

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 101.3906

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 3.7936 DJF (High: 101.2370 / Low: 97.4434). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8242 DJF (High: 102.8758 / Low: 102.0516).

December Spread (Volatile) ±3.7936

August Spread (Stable) ±0.8242

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.8771 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8771

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2014: 102.5722) against the same month in 2013 (average: 106.8989), the exchange rate shifted by -4.3267 (-4.05%).

2014 Avg (August) 102.5722

2013 Avg (August) 106.8989

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	102.2961	100.0755	100.9869
February	102.4735	100.1905	101.5810
March	102.4888	100.9355	101.7429
April	102.1023	100.8327	101.5508
May	101.9799	100.7700	101.3987
June	101.6206	100.7086	101.1366
July	102.4964	100.8395	101.5292
August	102.8758	102.0516	102.5722
September	102.4890	101.2426	101.9111
October	102.0450	100.9958	101.5611
November	102.1602	98.4712	100.6839
December	101.2370	97.4434	100.0858