YEARLY HIGH
73.1904 DJF
YEARLY LOW
66.4179 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
71.6098 DJF

2018 GEL to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 15, valuing the pair at 73.1904. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 66.4179.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.7725 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 69.8775 to the December average rate of 66.8647, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 73.1904 was down 2.63% compared to the 2017 peak of 75.1683, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 365,952 DJF
2017 Average 358,317 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 332,090 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 33,862.61 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

73.3093
66.2789
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 71.9864, compared to 71.2331 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7533 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 71.9864
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 71.2331

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 6.0009 DJF (High: 72.7629 / Low: 66.7620). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2918 DJF (High: 72.8222 / Low: 72.5304).

November Spread (Volatile) ±6.0009
July Spread (Stable) ±0.2918

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 3.5909 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.5909

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 72.3961) against the same month in 2017 (average: 73.7656), the exchange rate shifted by -1.3695 (-1.86%).

2018 Avg (May) 72.3961
2017 Avg (May) 73.7656

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 72.3924 68.9017 69.8775
February 72.8197 71.6551 72.1968
March 72.7014 71.8279 72.3654
April 73.1802 71.7218 72.5555
May 73.1904 71.7908 72.3961
June 72.8407 72.1553 72.5272
July 72.8222 72.5304 72.7097
August 72.7629 71.6956 72.1467
September 72.9672 71.5932 72.4986
October 72.7629 72.4238 72.7234
November 72.7629 66.7620 70.4557
December 67.2157 66.4179 66.8647