2012 GMD to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

50.8113 BIF

YEARLY LOW

41.9802 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

45.1348 BIF

2012 GMD to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GMD to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 50.8113. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 7, dropping to 41.9802.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.8311 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 43.8126 to the December average rate of 49.1485, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.18% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 50.8113 was up 8.83% compared to the 2011 peak of 46.6888, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 254,056 BIF

2011 Average 214,743 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 209,901 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 44,155.42 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

49.8081

41.8932

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 44.1625, compared to 46.1072 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.9447 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 44.1625

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 46.1072

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was November, with a trading range of 6.4642 BIF (High: 50.2027 / Low: 43.7385). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3371 BIF (High: 46.0794 / Low: 44.7423).

November Spread (Volatile) ±6.4642

July Spread (Stable) ±1.3371

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.2869 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2869

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 49.1485) against the same month in 2011 (average: 44.5047), the exchange rate shifted by +4.6438 (+10.43%).

2012 Avg (December) 49.1485

2011 Avg (December) 44.5047

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	46.0650	42.5816	43.8126
February	44.4621	41.9949	42.8554
March	44.1781	41.9802	42.5528
April	46.0475	42.8886	44.4569
May	46.6097	45.2150	45.8283
June	47.1458	44.3692	45.4688
July	46.0794	44.7423	45.4007
August	45.9734	42.9401	45.3394
September	45.0209	42.9401	44.0525
October	45.2657	43.4813	44.2971
November	50.2027	43.7385	48.4050
December	50.8113	47.2098	49.1485