2016 GMD to BIF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

40.0842 BIF

YEARLY LOW

36.0680 BIF

YEARLY AVERAGE

38.5221 BIF

2016 GMD to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GMD to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 1, valuing the pair at 40.0842. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 3, dropping to 36.0680.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.0162 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 39.5338 to the December average rate of 39.1364, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 40.0842 was down 3.43% compared to the 2015 peak of 41.5098, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 200,421 BIF

2015 Average 190,466 BIF

Yearly Trough Low 180,340 BIF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,080.93 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

39.8449

36.1112

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 38.0075, compared to 39.0367 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0292 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 38.0075

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 39.0367

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 3.6444 BIF (High: 40.0842 / Low: 36.4397). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3027 BIF (High: 39.2076 / Low: 38.9049).

March Spread (Volatile) ±3.6444

October Spread (Stable) ±0.3027

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 2.0578 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.0578

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 38.4801) against the same month in 2015 (average: 36.4676), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0126 (+5.52%).

2016 Avg (March) 38.4801

2015 Avg (March) 36.4676

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	39.8655	39.0455	39.5338
February	39.7428	39.2943	39.5239
March	40.0842	36.4397	38.4801
April	36.7109	36.0680	36.4223
May	36.6956	36.2064	36.4713
June	39.4710	36.3503	37.6136
July	39.1061	38.6352	38.8348
August	39.4199	38.5538	38.9642
September	39.3720	38.8709	39.0606
October	39.2076	38.9049	39.0670
November	39.4902	38.8415	39.1570
December	39.6167	38.6421	39.1364