YEARLY HIGH
37.9559 BIF
YEARLY LOW
35.6547 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
36.9756 BIF

2018 GMD to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GMD to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 25, valuing the pair at 37.9559. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 17, dropping to 35.6547.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3012 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 36.7340 to the December average rate of 36.5406, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 37.9559 was down 3.58% compared to the 2017 peak of 39.3652, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 189,779 BIF
2017 Average 188,059 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 178,274 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,505.85 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

37.7144
36.0657
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.3354, compared to 36.6158 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7196 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.3354
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 36.6158

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 1.0847 BIF (High: 37.7938 / Low: 36.7091). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4251 BIF (High: 37.1310 / Low: 36.7059).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.0847
August Spread (Stable) ±0.4251

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.4433 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4433

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 37.5619) against the same month in 2017 (average: 36.9452), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6167 (+1.67%).

2018 Avg (May) 37.5619
2017 Avg (May) 36.9452

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 37.1864 36.1976 36.7340
February 37.6670 36.7384 37.2844
March 37.7011 36.9816 37.3360
April 37.7570 37.1873 37.5194
May 37.9559 37.2442 37.5619
June 37.8590 37.1813 37.5770
July 37.7938 36.7091 37.1338
August 37.1310 36.7059 36.9089
September 37.0147 36.0822 36.5852
October 36.7139 35.7195 36.2031
November 36.6926 35.6547 36.3236
December 36.9438 36.0401 36.5406