2011 GMD to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.0069 NPR

YEARLY LOW

2.4757 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.6261 NPR

2011 GMD to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the GMD to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 3.0069. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 2, dropping to 2.4757.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5311 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.5675 to the December average rate of 2.8982, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 3.0069 was up 9.17% compared to the 2010 peak of 2.7542, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,034 NPR

2010 Average 12,940 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 12,379 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,655.72 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

2.9343

2.5013

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.5734, compared to 2.6788 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1054 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.5734

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.6788

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.2632 NPR (High: 2.8516 / Low: 2.5884). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0994 NPR (High: 2.6002 / Low: 2.5008).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2632

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0994

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0378 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0378

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 2.8982) against the same month in 2010 (average: 2.5581), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3401 (+13.29%).

2011 Avg (December) 2.8982

2010 Avg (December) 2.5581

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.6275	2.5154	2.5675
February	2.6002	2.5008	2.5374
March	2.6495	2.5096	2.5649
April	2.6595	2.5217	2.5725
May	2.6664	2.5238	2.5950
June	2.7257	2.5019	2.6029
July	2.6943	2.4920	2.5651
August	2.6586	2.4757	2.6070
September	2.6535	2.5473	2.5968
October	2.7499	2.5596	2.6693
November	2.8516	2.5884	2.7365
December	3.0069	2.7721	2.8982