2016 GMD to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.8000 NPR

YEARLY LOW

2.4761 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.5626 NPR

2016 GMD to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GMD to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 23, valuing the pair at 2.8000. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 4, dropping to 2.4761.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3239 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.7251 to the December average rate of 2.5359, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.8000 was up 2.66% compared to the 2015 peak of 2.7274, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,000 NPR

2015 Average 12,491 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 12,381 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,619.51 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.7930

2.4657

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.6082, compared to 2.5169 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0913 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.6082

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.5169

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.2984 NPR (High: 2.7798 / Low: 2.4814). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0241 NPR (High: 2.5112 / Low: 2.4871).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2984

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0241

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1468 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1468

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 2.7657) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.3022), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4635 (+20.13%).

2016 Avg (February) 2.7657

2015 Avg (February) 2.3022

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.7710	2.6812	2.7251
February	2.8000	2.7354	2.7657
March	2.7798	2.4814	2.6398
April	2.5084	2.4761	2.4930
May	2.5346	2.4846	2.5034
June	2.5451	2.4914	2.5221
July	2.5336	2.5050	2.5182
August	2.5319	2.4899	2.5093
September	2.5263	2.4890	2.5064
October	2.5112	2.4871	2.5007
November	2.5850	2.4934	2.5310
December	2.5570	2.5205	2.5359