2011 HNL to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6567 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.5956 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6193 MDL

2011 HNL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the HNL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 0.6567. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 29, dropping to 0.5956.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0611 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6436 to the December average rate of 0.6198, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.6567 was down 5.23% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.6930, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,284 MDL

2010 Average 3,270 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 2,978 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 305.32 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.6476

0.5996

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6246, compared to 0.6140 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0106 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6246

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6140

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.0327 MDL (High: 0.6313 / Low: 0.5986). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0090 MDL (High: 0.6361 / Low: 0.6271).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0327

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0090

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0166 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0166

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.6436) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.6552), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0116 (-1.77%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.6436

2010 Avg (January) 0.6552

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6567	0.6290	0.6436
February	0.6391	0.6298	0.6339
March	0.6361	0.6271	0.6318
April	0.6303	0.6050	0.6152
May	0.6268	0.5999	0.6126
June	0.6224	0.5986	0.6105
July	0.6151	0.6005	0.6083
August	0.6098	0.5956	0.6036
September	0.6313	0.5986	0.6154
October	0.6344	0.6032	0.6179
November	0.6294	0.6104	0.6191
December	0.6247	0.6129	0.6198