YEARLY HIGH
1.1601 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.6934 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7142 MDL

2019 HNL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the HNL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 9, valuing the pair at 1.1601. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 0.6934.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4667 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7008 to the December average rate of 0.7133, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.79% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.1601 was up 54.48% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.7509, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,800 MDL
2018 Average 3,514 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 3,467 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,333.45 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.7403
0.6938
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7148, compared to 0.7136 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7148
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7136

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.4667 MDL (High: 1.1601 / Low: 0.6934). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0069 MDL (High: 0.7012 / Low: 0.6943).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.4667
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0069

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0151 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0151

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 0.7133) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.7080), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0054 (+0.76%).

2019 Avg (December) 0.7133
2018 Avg (December) 0.7080

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7072 0.6971 0.7008
February 0.7012 0.6943 0.6977
March 0.7064 0.6943 0.7004
April 0.7300 0.7052 0.7198
May 0.7582 0.7252 0.7364
June 0.7467 0.7215 0.7340
July 0.7364 0.7061 0.7189
August 0.7339 0.7072 0.7176
September 0.7329 0.7122 0.7192
October 0.7201 0.6974 0.7073
November 0.7132 0.7011 0.7054
December 1.1601 0.6934 0.7133