2018 HNL to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7509 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.6872 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.7028 MDL

2018 HNL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HNL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 0.7509. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 9, dropping to 0.6872.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0638 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7173 to the December average rate of 0.7080, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.7509 was down 14.61% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.8794, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,755 MDL

2017 Average 3,930 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 3,436 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 318.83 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.7197

0.6903

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7043, compared to 0.7013 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0030 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7043

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7013

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0574 MDL (High: 0.7509 / Low: 0.6935). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0097 MDL (High: 0.7100 / Low: 0.7003).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0574

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0097

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0107 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0107

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.7080) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.7268), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0188 (-2.59%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.7080

2017 Avg (December) 0.7268

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.7254	0.7050	0.7173
February	0.7134	0.6998	0.7065
March	0.7076	0.6958	0.7012
April	0.7007	0.6902	0.6949
May	0.7114	0.6949	0.7016
June	0.7099	0.6982	0.7040
July	0.7051	0.6900	0.6968
August	0.6994	0.6872	0.6927
September	0.7024	0.6924	0.6988
October	0.7151	0.7010	0.7064
November	0.7100	0.7003	0.7049
December	0.7509	0.6935	0.7080