2016 HNL to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.9206 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.8512 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.8737 MDL

2016 HNL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HNL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 0.9206. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 0.8512.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0694 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.9062 to the December average rate of 0.8626, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.9206 was down 0.38% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.9241, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HNL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,603 MDL

2015 Average 4,323 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 4,256 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 346.97 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.9105

0.8582

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HNL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8813, compared to 0.8661 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0152 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8813

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8661

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0368 MDL (High: 0.9206 / Low: 0.8838). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0053 MDL (High: 0.8659 / Low: 0.8606).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0368

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0053

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0169 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0169

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.9062) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.7908), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1153 (+14.58%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.9062

2015 Avg (January) 0.7908

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9206	0.8838	0.9062
February	0.9036	0.8812	0.8893
March	0.8850	0.8637	0.8743
April	0.8752	0.8632	0.8702
May	0.8857	0.8708	0.8766
June	0.8783	0.8651	0.8710
July	0.8712	0.8647	0.8680
August	0.8659	0.8606	0.8626
September	0.8670	0.8615	0.8638
October	0.8807	0.8597	0.8688
November	0.8797	0.8604	0.8705
December	0.8722	0.8512	0.8626