YEARLY HIGH
16.5298 RSD
YEARLY LOW
15.9065 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.3412 RSD

2016 HRK to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HRK to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 7, valuing the pair at 16.5298. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 15.9065.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6233 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.0116 to the December average rate of 16.3633, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 16.5298 was up 2.83% compared to the 2015 peak of 16.0747, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HRK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 82,649 RSD
2015 Average 79,287 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 79,533 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,116.62 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

16.5119
15.9661
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HRK to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.2627, compared to 16.4197 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1570 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.2627
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.4197

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.2561 RSD (High: 16.2133 / Low: 15.9572). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0768 RSD (High: 16.4498 / Low: 16.3730).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2561
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0768

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0311 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0311

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 16.4660) against the same month in 2015 (average: 15.9067), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5593 (+3.52%).

2016 Avg (August) 16.4660
2015 Avg (August) 15.9067

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 16.1039 15.9065 16.0116
February 16.2133 15.9572 16.0828
March 16.3400 16.2197 16.2995
April 16.4621 16.3154 16.3803
May 16.4679 16.3106 16.3875
June 16.4758 16.3481 16.4145
July 16.5149 16.3853 16.4664
August 16.5298 16.3416 16.4660
September 16.4818 16.3732 16.4381
October 16.4498 16.3730 16.4076
November 16.4110 16.3087 16.3765
December 16.4172 16.2803 16.3633