YEARLY HIGH
16.0618 RSD
YEARLY LOW
15.6190 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
15.8834 RSD

2019 HRK to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the HRK to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 16.0618. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 15.6190.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4428 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.9331 to the December average rate of 15.7929, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 16.0618 was up 0.19% compared to the 2018 peak of 16.0306, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HRK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 80,309 RSD
2018 Average 79,702 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 78,095 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,213.89 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

15.9573
15.7779
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HRK to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.9110, compared to 15.8558 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0552 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.9110
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.8558

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.4428 RSD (High: 16.0618 / Low: 15.6190). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0385 RSD (High: 15.8107 / Low: 15.7722).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4428
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0385

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0755 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0755

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 15.9331) against the same month in 2018 (average: 15.9533), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0202 (-0.13%).

2019 Avg (January) 15.9331
2018 Avg (January) 15.9533

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 16.0618 15.6190 15.9331
February 15.9831 15.8916 15.9424
March 15.9321 15.8567 15.8965
April 15.9158 15.8560 15.8742
May 15.9631 15.8633 15.9019
June 15.9519 15.8765 15.9178
July 15.9579 15.9055 15.9318
August 15.9710 15.7549 15.9305
September 15.9441 15.8254 15.8800
October 15.8529 15.7417 15.8045
November 15.8245 15.7513 15.7948
December 15.8107 15.7722 15.7929