YEARLY HIGH
16.0306 RSD
YEARLY LOW
15.7759 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
15.9401 RSD

2018 HRK to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HRK to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 16.0306. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 12, dropping to 15.7759.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2547 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.9533 to the December average rate of 15.9719, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.12% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 16.0306 was down 4.31% compared to the 2017 peak of 16.7526, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HRK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 80,153 RSD
2017 Average 81,293 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 78,880 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,273.39 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

15.9985
15.8861
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HRK to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.9434, compared to 15.9368 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0066 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.9434
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 15.9368

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.2116 RSD (High: 15.9875 / Low: 15.7759). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0507 RSD (High: 15.9819 / Low: 15.9312).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2116
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0507

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0551 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0551

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 15.9719) against the same month in 2017 (average: 15.7915), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1804 (+1.14%).

2018 Avg (December) 15.9719
2017 Avg (December) 15.7915

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 16.0112 15.8928 15.9533
February 15.9924 15.8301 15.9102
March 15.9452 15.8238 15.8955
April 15.9515 15.8944 15.9274
May 16.0105 15.9311 15.9848
June 16.0106 15.9426 15.9891
July 15.9819 15.9312 15.9545
August 15.9410 15.8613 15.8994
September 15.9659 15.8822 15.9181
October 16.0162 15.9006 15.9558
November 15.9875 15.7759 15.9210
December 16.0306 15.9138 15.9719