2011 HTG to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

70.8545 UGX

YEARLY LOW

56.3157 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

62.1530 UGX

2011 HTG to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the HTG to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 23, valuing the pair at 70.8545. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 56.3157.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.5388 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 57.8578 to the December average rate of 60.5908, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 70.8545 was up 21.82% compared to the 2010 peak of 58.1628, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 354,273 UGX

2010 Average 271,358 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 281,579 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 72,693.81 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

70.5218

56.4203

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 58.6343, compared to 65.6717 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.0374 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 58.6343

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 65.6717

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 7.6062 UGX (High: 70.8465 / Low: 63.2403). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0886 UGX (High: 59.4044 / Low: 58.3158).

October Spread (Volatile) ±7.6062

May Spread (Stable) ±1.0886

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 5.1947 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -5.1947

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 69.3466) against the same month in 2010 (average: 56.0308), the exchange rate shifted by +13.3159 (+23.77%).

2011 Avg (September) 69.3466

2010 Avg (September) 56.0308

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	59.8224	56.3157	57.8578
February	58.7322	56.5230	57.5954
March	59.5970	57.9732	58.9537
April	59.1083	57.0341	58.3700
May	59.4044	58.3158	58.7012
June	65.9421	58.6180	60.3276
July	64.7703	62.1872	63.8314
August	69.7089	63.9888	67.8813
September	70.8545	68.0505	69.3466
October	70.8465	63.2403	68.7873
November	64.5164	62.1032	63.5926
December	63.1892	58.1847	60.5908