2018 HTG to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

59.1812 UGX

YEARLY LOW

47.6739 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

55.2879 UGX

2018 HTG to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the HTG to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 8, valuing the pair at 59.1812. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 47.6739.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.5073 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 56.4308 to the December average rate of 48.8386, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 59.1812 was down 1.26% compared to the 2017 peak of 59.9336, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 295,906 UGX

2017 Average 278,592 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 238,369 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 57,536.71 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

59.2584

47.8913

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 57.1533, compared to 53.4225 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.7308 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 57.1533

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 53.4225

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 4.4012 UGX (High: 59.0176 / Low: 54.6164). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4190 UGX (High: 56.9010 / Low: 56.4821).

July Spread (Volatile) ±4.4012

February Spread (Stable) ±0.4190

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.6282 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.6282

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 58.3111) against the same month in 2017 (average: 57.0864), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2248 (+2.15%).

2018 Avg (June) 58.3111

2017 Avg (June) 57.0864

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	57.1058	55.5310	56.4308
February	56.9010	56.4821	56.7393
March	57.1394	56.3396	56.7118
April	57.5519	56.7245	57.0599
May	58.3500	56.9430	57.6667
June	59.1812	57.4668	58.3111
July	59.0176	54.6164	56.5828
August	56.1943	54.0364	55.3814
September	55.1117	54.5189	54.8041
October	54.7813	52.2912	53.4614
November	52.8022	50.5002	51.4668
December	50.7208	47.6739	48.8386