YEARLY HIGH
63.3605 UGX
YEARLY LOW
55.1800 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
58.3539 UGX

2014 HTG to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the HTG to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 25, valuing the pair at 63.3605. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 13, dropping to 55.1800.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.1806 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 58.2690 to the December average rate of 59.4569, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 63.3605 was down 2.52% compared to the 2013 peak of 64.9952, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 316,803 UGX
2013 Average 304,128 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 275,900 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 40,902.82 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

61.7537
55.7158
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 57.7801, compared to 58.9276 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1474 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 57.7801
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 58.9276

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 6.3589 UGX (High: 63.3605 / Low: 57.0016). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6266 UGX (High: 56.5180 / Low: 55.8914).

February Spread (Volatile) ±6.3589
May Spread (Stable) ±0.6266

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 3.9834 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.9834

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2014: 61.2505) against the same month in 2013 (average: 62.5007), the exchange rate shifted by -1.2502 (-2.00%).

2014 Avg (February) 61.2505
2013 Avg (February) 62.5007

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 59.6543 57.7102 58.2690
February 63.3605 57.0016 61.2505
March 58.7788 55.1800 57.2672
April 57.5651 55.9599 56.5755
May 56.5180 55.8914 56.2189
June 58.0869 56.4142 57.0997
July 59.4197 57.9186 58.6281
August 58.5539 57.3441 58.1106
September 59.4427 57.8635 58.4393
October 60.4598 58.7127 59.6455
November 60.7405 58.1729 59.2849
December 59.7531 59.1252 59.4569