2012 HTG to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

63.9613 UGX

YEARLY LOW

56.9817 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

60.0706 UGX

2012 HTG to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the HTG to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 10, valuing the pair at 63.9613. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 56.9817.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.9797 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 59.6142 to the December average rate of 63.4258, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.39% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 63.9613 was down 9.73% compared to the 2011 peak of 70.8545, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 319,807 UGX

2011 Average 310,911 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 284,908 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 34,898.30 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

64.0031

57.0757

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 59.3427, compared to 60.7985 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.4558 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 59.3427

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 60.7985

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 4.2423 UGX (High: 61.4624 / Low: 57.2201). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6247 UGX (High: 59.1208 / Low: 58.4961).

January Spread (Volatile) ±4.2423

July Spread (Stable) ±0.6247

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.9612 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9612

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 63.4258) against the same month in 2011 (average: 60.5908), the exchange rate shifted by +2.8350 (+4.68%).

2012 Avg (December) 63.4258

2011 Avg (December) 60.5908

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	61.4624	57.2201	59.6142
February	60.1960	56.9817	57.6530
March	62.4562	59.3244	60.3082
April	61.3668	59.8015	60.4622
May	59.7621	58.5490	58.9883
June	59.4867	58.3743	59.0303
July	59.1208	58.4961	58.8080
August	59.9924	58.9477	59.2980
September	60.5410	59.4696	59.8281
October	61.6819	60.6186	61.2581
November	63.9558	61.1717	62.1732
December	63.9613	62.8505	63.4258