YEARLY HIGH
28.8303 UGX
YEARLY LOW
23.8715 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
26.3779 UGX

2023 HTG to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the HTG to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 30, valuing the pair at 28.8303. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 15, dropping to 23.8715.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.9588 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 24.8709 to the December average rate of 28.5996, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.99% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 28.8303 was down 19.61% compared to the 2022 peak of 35.8621, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 144,152 UGX
2022 Average 158,516 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 119,357 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,794.18 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

29.0455
23.6946
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 25.0234, compared to 27.7323 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.7089 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 25.0234
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 27.7323

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was May, with a trading range of 2.8725 UGX (High: 27.0030 / Low: 24.1305). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3161 UGX (High: 28.7861 / Low: 28.4700).

May Spread (Volatile) ±2.8725
December Spread (Stable) ±0.3161

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3211 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3211

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2023: 28.5114) against the same month in 2022 (average: 27.7941), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7173 (+2.58%).

2023 Avg (November) 28.5114
2022 Avg (November) 27.7941

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 25.2877 24.6156 24.8709
February 24.9530 24.1898 24.5499
March 24.6708 24.1760 24.3325
April 24.5786 23.8715 24.1405
May 27.0030 24.1305 25.6485
June 26.9066 26.3843 26.5982
July 26.8568 26.2913 26.5869
August 27.5502 26.2523 27.0439
September 28.0234 27.3235 27.6388
October 28.5020 27.6974 28.0132
November 28.8303 28.3176 28.5114
December 28.7861 28.4700 28.5996