2016 HTG to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

59.9567 UGX

YEARLY LOW

51.7667 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

54.2953 UGX

2016 HTG to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the HTG to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 59.9567. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 23, dropping to 51.7667.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.1900 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 59.3958 to the December average rate of 54.0955, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.92% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 59.9567 was down 14.04% compared to the 2015 peak of 69.7529, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 299,784 UGX

2015 Average 318,668 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 258,834 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 40,950.00 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

60.1283

51.3383

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 55.2713, compared to 53.3193 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.9521 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 55.2713

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 53.3193

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 3.6767 UGX (High: 58.4017 / Low: 54.7250). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6029 UGX (High: 54.6493 / Low: 54.0464).

February Spread (Volatile) ±3.6767

March Spread (Stable) ±0.6029

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 2.5806 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.5806

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 59.3958) against the same month in 2015 (average: 61.2462), the exchange rate shifted by -1.8504 (-3.02%).

2016 Avg (January) 59.3958

2015 Avg (January) 61.2462

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	59.9567	58.2997	59.3958
February	58.4017	54.7250	56.8152
March	54.6493	54.0464	54.3337
April	54.4525	52.9957	53.7749
May	54.3238	53.3136	53.6653
June	54.3752	53.2044	53.6432
July	53.9763	52.9818	53.4136
August	53.3218	52.0756	52.6173
September	52.4136	51.7667	52.0708
October	53.5181	51.9323	52.8326
November	55.9608	53.7909	54.8858
December	55.4300	53.1275	54.0955