2019 HTG to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

48.1580 UGX

YEARLY LOW

37.8277 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

41.2677 UGX

2019 HTG to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the HTG to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 48.1580. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 11, dropping to 37.8277.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.3302 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 47.4349 to the December average rate of 38.1568, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 48.1580 was down 18.63% compared to the 2018 peak of 59.1812, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 240,790 UGX

2018 Average 276,373 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 189,139 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 51,651.11 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

48.3802

37.0372

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 43.9974, compared to 38.5381 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.4593 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 43.9974

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.5381

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was February, with a trading range of 3.0198 UGX (High: 47.2261 / Low: 44.2063). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3475 UGX (High: 38.2211 / Low: 37.8736).

February Spread (Volatile) ±3.0198

November Spread (Stable) ±0.3475

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 2.4576 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.4576

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 47.4349) against the same month in 2018 (average: 56.4308), the exchange rate shifted by -8.9958 (-15.94%).

2019 Avg (January) 47.4349

2018 Avg (January) 56.4308

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	48.1580	46.6035	47.4349
February	47.2261	44.2063	45.1141
March	44.8280	44.1218	44.4609
April	44.4892	43.5888	44.0639
May	43.7381	41.1222	42.6841
June	41.4111	39.3593	40.2265
July	39.5632	39.1413	39.2954
August	39.1195	38.6464	38.8372
September	38.7016	38.2574	38.4725
October	38.7205	38.2296	38.4840
November	38.2211	37.8736	37.9825
December	38.6094	37.8277	38.1568