YEARLY HIGH
59.9489 UGX
YEARLY LOW
32.5876 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
41.1796 UGX

2020 HTG to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the HTG to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 21, valuing the pair at 59.9489. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 6, dropping to 32.5876.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 27.3613 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 37.4556 to the December average rate of 52.4625, the exchange rate registered a net change of 40.07% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 59.9489 was up 24.48% compared to the 2019 peak of 48.1580, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 HTG based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 299,744 UGX
2019 Average 206,240 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 162,938 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 136,806.29 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

61.1800
30.2750
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

HTG to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.4310, compared to 44.9281 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.4971 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.4310
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 44.9281

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was December, with a trading range of 6.2091 UGX (High: 56.3666 / Low: 50.1575). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6464 UGX (High: 33.3041 / Low: 32.6576).

December Spread (Volatile) ±6.2091
August Spread (Stable) ±0.6464

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 5.3552 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.3552

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2020: 58.6046) against the same month in 2019 (average: 38.4840), the exchange rate shifted by +20.1205 (+52.28%).

2020 Avg (October) 58.6046
2019 Avg (October) 38.4840

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 38.8194 37.0014 37.4556
February 41.9682 36.3239 37.7058
March 41.9682 39.1836 39.9761
April 39.9704 38.6794 39.2284
May 36.3218 35.0468 35.6477
June 35.2788 33.9310 34.5724
July 34.0513 33.1228 33.6026
August 33.3041 32.6576 32.8504
September 35.3123 32.5876 34.2311
October 59.9489 55.1303 58.6046
November 59.1779 55.9646 57.8177
December 56.3666 50.1575 52.4625