2011 KES to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

19.8612 SOS

YEARLY LOW

15.2910 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

18.2743 SOS

2011 KES to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the KES to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 14, valuing the pair at 19.8612. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 15.2910.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.5702 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 19.7826 to the December average rate of 18.7895, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 19.8612 was down 1.92% compared to the 2010 peak of 20.2502, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 99,306 SOS

2010 Average 98,346 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 76,455 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 22,850.92 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

20.1540

15.6968

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 19.0673, compared to 17.4814 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.5859 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 19.0673

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.4814

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was December, with a trading range of 1.9882 SOS (High: 19.5082 / Low: 17.5200). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1601 SOS (High: 19.8612 / Low: 19.7011).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.9882

January Spread (Stable) ±0.1601

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.8314 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8314

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 19.7826) against the same month in 2010 (average: 19.7148), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0677 (+0.34%).

2011 Avg (January) 19.7826

2010 Avg (January) 19.7148

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	19.8612	19.7011	19.7826
February	19.7644	19.4523	19.6469
March	19.3808	18.6280	19.0146
April	19.2199	18.9951	19.0916
May	19.2145	18.4338	18.7457
June	18.8027	17.5960	18.1223
July	18.3435	17.5984	18.0987
August	17.9403	17.1893	17.5906
September	17.3836	15.7530	16.8996
October	16.3818	15.2910	16.0683
November	18.2521	16.5299	17.4417
December	19.5082	17.5200	18.7895