YEARLY HIGH
5.8396 SOS
YEARLY LOW
5.2012 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4613 SOS

2020 KES to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the KES to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 5.8396. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 5.2012.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6383 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.7407 to the December average rate of 5.2581, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 5.8396 was up 0.11% compared to the 2019 peak of 5.8333, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,198 SOS
2019 Average 28,428 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 26,006 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,191.58 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

5.8302
5.2061
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5811, compared to 5.3415 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2396 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5811
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.3415

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.3606 SOS (High: 5.8010 / Low: 5.4404). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0466 SOS (High: 5.3741 / Low: 5.3275).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3606
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0466

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1662 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1662

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 5.7407) against the same month in 2019 (average: 5.7132), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0275 (+0.48%).

2020 Avg (January) 5.7407
2019 Avg (January) 5.7132

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.8396 5.6903 5.7407
February 5.8396 5.7203 5.7782
March 5.8010 5.4404 5.6120
April 5.5252 5.3997 5.4546
May 5.5209 5.3799 5.4412
June 5.4948 5.4324 5.4601
July 5.4696 5.3723 5.4108
August 5.4241 5.3206 5.3597
September 5.3959 5.3364 5.3569
October 5.3741 5.3275 5.3481
November 5.3416 5.2645 5.3155
December 5.3411 5.2012 5.2581