2013 KES to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

18.8647 SOS

YEARLY LOW

12.9667 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

16.3484 SOS

2013 KES to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the KES to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 13, valuing the pair at 18.8647. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 12.9667.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.8980 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 18.3991 to the December average rate of 13.5053, the exchange rate registered a net change of -26.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 18.8647 was down 4.86% compared to the 2012 peak of 19.8292, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 94,323 SOS

2012 Average 95,975 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 64,833 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 29,490.04 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

19.0332

13.0027

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 18.0035, compared to 14.6934 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.3101 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 18.0035

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.6934

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 0.9801 SOS (High: 18.1307 / Low: 17.1506). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2601 SOS (High: 14.6700 / Low: 14.4098).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.9801

October Spread (Stable) ±0.2601

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.9515 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9515

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 18.5307) against the same month in 2012 (average: 19.6146), the exchange rate shifted by -1.0839 (-5.53%).

2013 Avg (March) 18.5307

2012 Avg (March) 19.6146

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	18.6386	18.1993	18.3991
February	18.4881	17.8860	18.2266
March	18.8647	18.0824	18.5307
April	18.5795	18.1201	18.3938
May	18.1307	17.1506	17.7112
June	17.2612	16.3462	16.7596
July	16.3128	15.6633	15.9898
August	15.7549	14.9114	15.2819
September	14.9011	14.5486	14.6566
October	14.6700	14.4098	14.5641
November	14.3875	13.8487	14.1625
December	13.8729	12.9667	13.5053