2012 KES to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

19.8292 SOS

YEARLY LOW

18.5923 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

19.1967 SOS

2012 KES to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 14, valuing the pair at 19.8292. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 18.5923.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2370 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 18.9210 to the December average rate of 18.7621, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 19.8292 was down 0.16% compared to the 2011 peak of 19.8612, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 99,146 SOS

2011 Average 91,336 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 92,961 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,184.94 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

19.6999

18.6768

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 19.3237, compared to 19.0697 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2539 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 19.3237

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 19.0697

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was June, with a trading range of 0.9211 SOS (High: 19.5403 / Low: 18.6192). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1892 SOS (High: 19.1057 / Low: 18.9165).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.9211

October Spread (Stable) ±0.1892

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.3275 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3275

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2012: 19.6146) against the same month in 2011 (average: 19.0146), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6000 (+3.16%).

2012 Avg (March) 19.6146

2011 Avg (March) 19.0146

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	19.3769	18.5923	18.9210
February	19.6993	19.4040	19.5669
March	19.8292	19.4987	19.6146
April	19.5983	19.3820	19.5358
May	19.5530	18.7307	19.2083
June	19.5403	18.6192	19.0954
July	19.4322	19.1371	19.2696
August	19.4411	19.1907	19.3200
September	19.3340	18.9823	19.1764
October	19.1057	18.9165	19.0334
November	18.9360	18.7327	18.8569
December	18.8954	18.6468	18.7621