YEARLY HIGH
5.7927 SOS
YEARLY LOW
5.5622 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7151 SOS

2018 KES to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 4, valuing the pair at 5.7927. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 5.5622.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2305 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.6362 to the December average rate of 5.6750, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.7927 was up 0.65% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.7552, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,964 SOS
2017 Average 28,001 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 27,811 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,152.38 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.7559
5.6253
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.7148, compared to 5.7153 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.7148
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.7153

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.1364 SOS (High: 5.6986 / Low: 5.5622). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0453 SOS (High: 5.7660 / Low: 5.7207).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1364
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0453

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0692 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0692

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 5.7290) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.6072), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1218 (+2.17%).

2018 Avg (May) 5.7290
2017 Avg (May) 5.6072

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6986 5.5622 5.6362
February 5.7780 5.6824 5.7278
March 5.7839 5.7072 5.7430
April 5.7879 5.6972 5.7416
May 5.7927 5.6575 5.7290
June 5.7570 5.6558 5.7111
July 5.7720 5.7099 5.7450
August 5.7660 5.7207 5.7436
September 5.7501 5.7017 5.7346
October 5.7620 5.6851 5.7315
November 5.7233 5.6130 5.6623
December 5.7233 5.6467 5.6750