YEARLY HIGH
5.1613 SOS
YEARLY LOW
4.5882 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8848 SOS

2022 KES to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the KES to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 5.1613. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 5, dropping to 4.5882.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5731 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.1299 to the December average rate of 4.6236, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.87% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 5.1613 was down 5.86% compared to the 2021 peak of 5.4827, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,806 SOS
2021 Average 26,500 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 22,941 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,865.63 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

5.1805
4.5730
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0473, compared to 4.7222 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3251 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0473
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.7222

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was July, with a trading range of 0.1506 SOS (High: 4.9180 / Low: 4.7674). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0392 SOS (High: 4.6462 / Low: 4.6070).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.1506
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0392

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2022. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0911 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0911

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2022: 5.1299) against the same month in 2021 (average: 5.2858), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1559 (-2.95%).

2022 Avg (January) 5.1299
2021 Avg (January) 5.2858

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1613 5.0834 5.1299
February 5.1474 5.0442 5.1138
March 5.1330 5.0535 5.0840
April 5.0738 4.9923 5.0180
May 5.0129 4.9560 4.9906
June 4.9914 4.9068 4.9478
July 4.9180 4.7674 4.8667
August 4.8763 4.7287 4.7756
September 4.7539 4.6605 4.7156
October 4.7173 4.6381 4.6942
November 4.6824 4.5882 4.6577
December 4.6462 4.6070 4.6236