2014 KES to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.1323 SOS

YEARLY LOW

7.8107 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.3815 SOS

2014 KES to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the KES to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 13.1323. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 7.8107.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.3216 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.8093 to the December average rate of 8.0793, the exchange rate registered a net change of -36.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 13.1323 was down 30.39% compared to the 2013 peak of 18.8647, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 65,661 SOS

2013 Average 81,684 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 39,053 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 26,607.90 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

13.2824

7.6063

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.6749, compared to 9.0882 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.5867 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.6749

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.0882

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.8425 SOS (High: 9.5064 / Low: 8.6639). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2188 SOS (High: 8.8076 / Low: 8.5887).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.8425

October Spread (Stable) ±0.2188

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.6973 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6973

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 12.8093) against the same month in 2013 (average: 18.3991), the exchange rate shifted by -5.5897 (-30.38%).

2014 Avg (January) 12.8093

2013 Avg (January) 18.3991

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.1323	12.5369	12.8093
February	12.6021	12.0835	12.3904
March	12.0998	11.3724	11.7621
April	11.5022	11.1778	11.3063
May	11.2539	10.7823	11.0979
June	10.8393	10.4932	10.6831
July	10.5122	9.6841	10.2728
August	9.7079	9.4551	9.5755
September	9.5064	8.6639	9.2415
October	8.8076	8.5887	8.7426
November	8.7872	8.2899	8.6175
December	8.3356	7.8107	8.0793