YEARLY HIGH
6.0892 SOS
YEARLY LOW
5.4376 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.8474 SOS

2016 KES to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 6.0892. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 5.4376.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6516 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.0473 to the December average rate of 5.6075, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.0892 was down 23.54% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.9644, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,446 SOS
2015 Average 34,474 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 27,188 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,257.84 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.0913
5.5636
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9876, compared to 5.7072 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2804 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9876
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.7072

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.2802 SOS (High: 5.7219 / Low: 5.4417). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0569 SOS (High: 5.7968 / Low: 5.7398).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2802
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0569

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1829 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1829

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 6.0473) against the same month in 2015 (average: 7.8318), the exchange rate shifted by -1.7845 (-22.79%).

2016 Avg (January) 6.0473
2015 Avg (January) 7.8318

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.0892 5.9885 6.0473
February 6.0751 5.9760 6.0104
March 6.0810 5.9934 6.0344
April 6.0832 5.9603 6.0245
May 6.0811 5.8676 5.9960
June 5.9391 5.7047 5.8131
July 5.8278 5.6564 5.7484
August 5.7933 5.6929 5.7433
September 5.7968 5.7398 5.7625
October 5.7980 5.6463 5.7380
November 5.7219 5.4417 5.6435
December 5.7011 5.4376 5.6075