2012 MDL to NGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.8964 NGN

YEARLY LOW

12.5868 NGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.1288 NGN

2012 MDL to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MDL to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 13.8964. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 16, dropping to 12.5868.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3096 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.6873 to the December average rate of 12.9084, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 13.8964 was down 1.09% compared to the 2011 peak of 14.0496, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 69,482 NGN

2011 Average 66,596 NGN

Yearly Trough Low 62,934 NGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,547.86 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

13.7842

12.6219

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.4264, compared to 12.8311 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.5952 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.4264

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.8311

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.7126 NGN (High: 13.3626 / Low: 12.6499). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1005 NGN (High: 12.7708 / Low: 12.6703).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.7126

September Spread (Stable) ±0.1005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.3809 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3809

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 13.6873) against the same month in 2011 (average: 12.5335), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1539 (+9.21%).

2012 Avg (January) 13.6873

2011 Avg (January) 12.5335

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.8964	13.5864	13.6873
February	13.6144	13.2397	13.4026
March	13.4037	13.2562	13.3222
April	13.5001	13.3185	13.3884
May	13.4979	13.2287	13.3479
June	13.5510	13.2172	13.4099
July	13.3626	12.6499	13.0290
August	12.9039	12.5868	12.7212
September	12.7708	12.6703	12.7188
October	12.9862	12.6881	12.8464
November	12.8627	12.6968	12.7632
December	13.0576	12.7366	12.9084