YEARLY HIGH
94.3468 NGN
YEARLY LOW
79.5701 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
88.0238 NGN

2025 MDL to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the MDL to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 23, valuing the pair at 94.3468. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 8, dropping to 79.5701.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.7767 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 83.6420 to the December average rate of 86.1889, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 94.3468 was down 1.90% compared to the 2024 peak of 96.1788, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 471,734 NGN
2024 Average 414,445 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 397,851 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 73,883.26 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

93.8677
81.0398
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 87.4630, compared to 88.5845 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1215 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 87.4630
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 88.5845

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was February, with a trading range of 10.8886 NGN (High: 90.4587 / Low: 79.5701). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7582 NGN (High: 84.2733 / Low: 82.5151).

February Spread (Volatile) ±10.8886
January Spread (Stable) ±1.7582

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 3.7218 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.7218

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2025: 90.6788) against the same month in 2024 (average: 72.1402), the exchange rate shifted by +18.5386 (+25.70%).

2025 Avg (April) 90.6788
2024 Avg (April) 72.1402

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 84.2733 82.5151 83.6420
February 90.4587 79.5701 82.1088
March 87.3857 80.3967 84.6641
April 94.3468 85.6810 90.6788
May 94.0928 91.7936 92.7987
June 91.9566 89.6245 90.8858
July 92.1303 89.6512 90.8597
August 93.0278 88.5940 91.6142
September 93.2539 88.9850 90.6443
October 89.4633 85.3133 86.9225
November 86.4334 84.4228 85.2772
December 87.5322 85.2696 86.1889