YEARLY HIGH
21.9887 NGN
YEARLY LOW
20.9749 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
21.5054 NGN

2018 MDL to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MDL to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 13, valuing the pair at 21.9887. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 20.9749.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0138 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 21.2508 to the December average rate of 21.1963, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 21.9887 was up 4.07% compared to the 2017 peak of 21.1285, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 109,943 NGN
2017 Average 90,975 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 104,875 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,068.76 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

21.9448
21.1283
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 21.5720, compared to 21.4387 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1333 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 21.5720
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 21.4387

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.6405 NGN (High: 21.8298 / Low: 21.1893). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2508 NGN (High: 21.6817 / Low: 21.4309).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.6405
September Spread (Stable) ±0.2508

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.2820 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2820

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 21.8767) against the same month in 2017 (average: 16.3057), the exchange rate shifted by +5.5711 (+34.17%).

2018 Avg (April) 21.8767
2017 Avg (April) 16.3057

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 21.5987 20.9749 21.2508
February 21.7850 21.3587 21.6193
March 21.8724 21.5624 21.7364
April 21.9887 21.6996 21.8767
May 21.8298 21.1893 21.5948
June 21.5335 21.1614 21.3541
July 21.8303 21.3066 21.5821
August 21.8909 21.5438 21.7070
September 21.6817 21.4309 21.5438
October 21.5336 21.1247 21.3605
November 21.4471 21.0525 21.2425
December 21.5236 21.0127 21.1963