2015 MDL to NGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.7585 NGN

YEARLY LOW

9.8542 NGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.5697 NGN

2015 MDL to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MDL to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 11.7585. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 9.8542.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9044 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.1861 to the December average rate of 10.0892, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 11.7585 was down 5.34% compared to the 2014 peak of 12.4216, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 58,793 NGN

2014 Average 58,972 NGN

Yearly Trough Low 49,271 NGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,521.88 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

11.3083

9.8420

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.9461, compared to 10.1934 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7527 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.9461

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.1934

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 1.3049 NGN (High: 11.7585 / Low: 10.4536). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1507 NGN (High: 10.0343 / Low: 9.8836).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.3049

November Spread (Stable) ±0.1507

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.5063 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5063

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 11.1861) against the same month in 2014 (average: 12.1493), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9632 (-7.93%).

2015 Avg (January) 11.1861

2014 Avg (January) 12.1493

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.7585	10.4536	11.1861
February	10.9798	10.4254	10.6799
March	11.0763	10.6585	10.8646
April	11.4298	10.7503	11.0653
May	11.2842	10.9546	11.1164
June	11.0370	10.3859	10.7641
July	10.6355	10.3979	10.5051
August	10.6127	10.3686	10.4808
September	10.3494	9.8542	10.1113
October	10.1462	9.9046	10.0098
November	10.0343	9.8836	9.9642
December	10.1747	9.9871	10.0892