2013 MDL to NGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.3250 NGN

YEARLY LOW

12.0659 NGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.7099 NGN

2013 MDL to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MDL to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 30, valuing the pair at 13.3250. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 30, dropping to 12.0659.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2591 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.9285 to the December average rate of 12.3042, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 13.3250 was down 4.11% compared to the 2012 peak of 13.8964, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 66,625 NGN

2012 Average 65,640 NGN

Yearly Trough Low 60,330 NGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,295.44 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

13.0708

12.1897

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.8798, compared to 12.5400 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3399 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.8798

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.5400

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was July, with a trading range of 0.5539 NGN (High: 13.3250 / Low: 12.7711). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1485 NGN (High: 12.9136 / Low: 12.7651).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.5539

March Spread (Stable) ±0.1485

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.2992 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2992

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2013: 12.9803) against the same month in 2012 (average: 13.0290), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0487 (-0.37%).

2013 Avg (July) 12.9803

2012 Avg (July) 13.0290

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.0456	12.7934	12.9285
February	13.0858	12.8668	12.9974
March	12.9136	12.7651	12.8418
April	12.9298	12.6885	12.8319
May	12.9250	12.6253	12.7914
June	13.0829	12.6587	12.8881
July	13.3250	12.7711	12.9803
August	12.9285	12.5991	12.6811
September	12.7988	12.4059	12.6499
October	12.6145	12.2256	12.3612
November	12.3818	12.0659	12.2632
December	12.6176	12.0709	12.3042