YEARLY HIGH
51.8797 NGN
YEARLY LOW
23.3519 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
35.1790 NGN

2023 MDL to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MDL to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 51.8797. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 23.3519.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 28.5278 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 23.9411 to the December average rate of 46.0307, the exchange rate registered a net change of 92.27% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 51.8797 was up 121.45% compared to the 2022 peak of 23.4268, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MDL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 259,399 NGN
2022 Average 112,298 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 116,760 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 142,638.82 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

48.2397
21.7322
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MDL to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 26.3587, compared to 43.9994 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 17.6407 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 26.3587
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 43.9994

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 19.4561 NGN (High: 45.3718 / Low: 25.9157). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3140 NGN (High: 24.6433 / Low: 24.3292).

June Spread (Volatile) ±19.4561
February Spread (Stable) ±0.3140

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.3467 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3467

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 46.0307) against the same month in 2022 (average: 23.0471), the exchange rate shifted by +22.9836 (+99.72%).

2023 Avg (December) 46.0307
2022 Avg (December) 23.0471

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 24.5949 23.3519 23.9411
February 24.6433 24.3292 24.5250
March 25.1529 24.3373 24.7084
April 25.9631 25.1509 25.5727
May 26.1634 25.6733 25.9653
June 45.3718 25.9157 33.4395
July 45.7816 41.5448 43.4404
August 44.3302 42.5819 43.4123
September 43.9802 41.4992 43.0656
October 48.7577 41.7599 43.1734
November 46.3844 43.3112 44.8740
December 51.8797 43.4472 46.0307