2011 MGA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.4470 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.0770 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2500 UGX

2011 MGA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MGA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 5, valuing the pair at 1.4470. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 1.0770.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3701 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1136 to the December average rate of 1.1460, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.90% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.4470 was up 24.54% compared to the 2010 peak of 1.1619, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,235 UGX

2010 Average 5,210 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 5,385 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,850.31 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.4359

1.0843

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1931, compared to 1.3069 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1139 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1931

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3069

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.1942 UGX (High: 1.4241 / Low: 1.2299). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0254 UGX (High: 1.2326 / Low: 1.2072).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.1942

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0254

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1160 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1160

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 1.4032) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.1178), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2854 (+25.53%).

2011 Avg (September) 1.4032

2010 Avg (September) 1.1178

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1524	1.0770	1.1136
February	1.1861	1.1282	1.1620
March	1.2104	1.1784	1.1963
April	1.2240	1.1828	1.2044
May	1.2326	1.2072	1.2185
June	1.3711	1.2255	1.2638
July	1.3367	1.3003	1.3227
August	1.4464	1.3242	1.4066
September	1.4470	1.3722	1.4032
October	1.4241	1.2299	1.3396
November	1.2486	1.1899	1.2236
December	1.2173	1.0932	1.1460