2016 MGA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1497 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.0207 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0760 UGX

2016 MGA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MGA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 30, valuing the pair at 1.1497. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 1.0207.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1290 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0730 to the December average rate of 1.0799, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.1497 was down 4.62% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.2054, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,749 UGX

2015 Average 5,219 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 5,104 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 645.01 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.1255

1.0226

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0551, compared to 1.0970 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0419 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0551

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0970

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was July, with a trading range of 0.0958 UGX (High: 1.1497 / Low: 1.0540). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0201 UGX (High: 1.0908 / Low: 1.0707).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0958

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0201

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0292 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0292

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2016: 1.0988) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.0200), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0787 (+7.72%).

2016 Avg (July) 1.0988

2015 Avg (July) 1.0200

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0855	1.0477	1.0730
February	1.0924	1.0455	1.0761
March	1.0590	1.0361	1.0485
April	1.0586	1.0365	1.0497
May	1.0607	1.0339	1.0519
June	1.0496	1.0207	1.0311
July	1.1497	1.0540	1.0988
August	1.1448	1.1058	1.1169
September	1.1149	1.0904	1.1087
October	1.0908	1.0707	1.0795
November	1.1143	1.0817	1.0981
December	1.0978	1.0609	1.0799