2014 MGA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.1292 UGX

YEARLY LOW

0.9765 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0525 UGX

2014 MGA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MGA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.1292. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 6, dropping to 0.9765.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1527 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1034 to the December average rate of 1.0641, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.1292 was down 7.66% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.2228, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,646 UGX

2013 Average 5,843 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,882 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 763.30 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.1146

0.9801

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0754, compared to 1.0295 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0460 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0754

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0295

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.0523 UGX (High: 1.1292 / Low: 1.0769). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0217 UGX (High: 1.0738 / Low: 1.0521).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0523

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0217

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0409 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0409

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 1.1034) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.1998), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0965 (-8.04%).

2014 Avg (January) 1.1034

2013 Avg (January) 1.1998

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1292	1.0769	1.1034
February	1.0784	1.0517	1.0625
March	1.0941	1.0702	1.0795
April	1.0906	1.0561	1.0715
May	1.0738	1.0521	1.0645
June	1.1033	1.0540	1.0714
July	1.0956	1.0438	1.0709
August	1.0582	1.0178	1.0350
September	1.0306	0.9967	1.0072
October	1.0033	0.9765	0.9913
November	1.0361	0.9887	1.0083
December	1.0860	1.0338	1.0641