2019 MGA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.5071 UGX

YEARLY LOW

0.9721 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0206 UGX

2019 MGA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MGA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 1.5071. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 24, dropping to 0.9721.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5350 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0411 to the December average rate of 1.0244, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.5071 was up 27.13% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.1855, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,536 UGX

2018 Average 5,582 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,860 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,675.17 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.0525

0.9759

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0363, compared to 1.0048 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0315 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0363

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0048

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.5156 UGX (High: 1.5071 / Low: 0.9915). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0156 UGX (High: 1.0249 / Low: 1.0093).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.5156

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0156

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0186 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0186

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 1.0244) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.0460), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0216 (-2.06%).

2019 Avg (December) 1.0244

2018 Avg (December) 1.0460

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0674	1.0143	1.0411
February	1.0610	1.0140	1.0388
March	1.0616	1.0370	1.0461
April	1.0526	1.0237	1.0348
May	1.0489	1.0225	1.0337
June	1.0334	1.0105	1.0232
July	1.0249	1.0093	1.0165
August	1.0100	0.9883	1.0009
September	0.9929	0.9721	0.9823
October	1.0216	0.9873	1.0033
November	1.0252	0.9859	1.0016
December	1.5071	0.9915	1.0244