YEARLY HIGH
0.8284 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.7629 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7947 UGX

2025 MGA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the MGA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 29, valuing the pair at 0.8284. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 12, dropping to 0.7629.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0656 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7838 to the December average rate of 0.7919, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 0.8284 was down 6.96% compared to the 2024 peak of 0.8904, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,142 UGX
2024 Average 4,143 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 3,814 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 327.77 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

0.8180
0.7693
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7954, compared to 0.7941 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0013 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7954
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7941

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was April, with a trading range of 0.0488 UGX (High: 0.8284 / Low: 0.7796). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0160 UGX (High: 0.7896 / Low: 0.7736).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0488
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0160

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0166 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0166

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2025: 0.8033) against the same month in 2024 (average: 0.8690), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0657 (-7.56%).

2025 Avg (April) 0.8033
2024 Avg (April) 0.8690

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7962 0.7762 0.7838
February 0.7928 0.7760 0.7811
March 0.7896 0.7736 0.7840
April 0.8284 0.7796 0.8033
May 0.8244 0.7950 0.8140
June 0.8185 0.7950 0.8060
July 0.8193 0.7969 0.8102
August 0.8133 0.7912 0.8052
September 0.8042 0.7807 0.7900
October 0.7858 0.7629 0.7734
November 0.8129 0.7731 0.7939
December 0.8034 0.7857 0.7919