2012 MGA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2086 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.0559 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1442 UGX

2012 MGA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MGA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 27, valuing the pair at 1.2086. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 1.0559.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1526 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0861 to the December average rate of 1.1835, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.97% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1.2086 was down 16.48% compared to the 2011 peak of 1.4470, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,043 UGX

2011 Average 6,252 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 5,280 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 763.09 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1.2015

1.0639

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1433, compared to 1.1450 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0018 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1433

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1450

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 0.0882 UGX (High: 1.1441 / Low: 1.0559). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0253 UGX (High: 1.1850 / Low: 1.1597).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0882

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0253

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0625 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0625

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2012: 1.1900) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1.2044), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0144 (-1.19%).

2012 Avg (April) 1.1900

2011 Avg (April) 1.2044

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.1105	1.0658	1.0861
February	1.1441	1.0559	1.0754
March	1.1883	1.1331	1.1583
April	1.2086	1.1754	1.1900
May	1.2014	1.1727	1.1883
June	1.1861	1.1326	1.1616
July	1.1326	1.0785	1.0991
August	1.1288	1.0970	1.1080
September	1.1554	1.1183	1.1347
October	1.1850	1.1597	1.1751
November	1.1985	1.1580	1.1697
December	1.1990	1.1722	1.1835