2013 MGA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2228 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1.1058 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1688 UGX

2013 MGA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MGA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 1.2228. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 1.1058.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1170 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1998 to the December average rate of 1.1152, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1.2228 was up 1.18% compared to the 2012 peak of 1.2086, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,114 UGX

2012 Average 5,722 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 5,529 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 585.24 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1.2174

1.1059

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MGA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1881, compared to 1.1495 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0386 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1881

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1495

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 0.0481 UGX (High: 1.2011 / Low: 1.1530). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0117 UGX (High: 1.1822 / Low: 1.1705).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0481

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0117

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0234 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0234

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 1.2081) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1.0754), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1327 (+12.34%).

2013 Avg (February) 1.2081

2012 Avg (February) 1.0754

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2141	1.1862	1.1998
February	1.2228	1.1962	1.2081
March	1.1998	1.1556	1.1848
April	1.2011	1.1530	1.1700
May	1.1902	1.1615	1.1775
June	1.2019	1.1763	1.1883
July	1.1822	1.1705	1.1758
August	1.1888	1.1727	1.1797
September	1.1830	1.1425	1.1605
October	1.1531	1.1248	1.1386
November	1.1521	1.1104	1.1271
December	1.1284	1.1058	1.1152