YEARLY HIGH
0.9085 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.7553 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.8644 UGX

2026 MGA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MGA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 17, valuing the pair at 0.9085. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 0.7553.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1532 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7820 to the December average rate of 0.8776, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.24% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.9085 was up 9.67% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.8284, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MGA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,543 UGX
2025 Average 3,974 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 3,776 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 766.24 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.9113
0.7702
JanuMarcMayJuly

MGA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.8621, compared to 0.8715 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0094 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.8621
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.8715

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.0576 UGX (High: 0.9085 / Low: 0.8509). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 UGX (High: 0.8780 / Low: 0.8771).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0576
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0186 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0186

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 0.8951) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.7840), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1111 (+14.17%).

2026 Avg (March) 0.8951
2025 Avg (March) 0.7840

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8024 0.7553 0.7820
February 0.8559 0.7984 0.8169
March 0.9085 0.8509 0.8951
April 0.9013 0.8840 0.8948
May 0.9006 0.8976 0.8996
June 0.8997 0.8626 0.8841
July 0.8761 0.8570 0.8654
August 0.8780 0.8771 0.8776