2011 MMK to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

448.6434 UGX

YEARLY LOW

351.2286 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

389.0071 UGX

2011 MMK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MMK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 23, valuing the pair at 448.6434. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 351.2286.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 97.4148 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 357.7941 to the December average rate of 378.4534, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.77% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 448.6434 was up 25.22% compared to the 2010 peak of 358.2945, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,243,217 UGX

2010 Average 1,674,232 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,756,143 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 487,073.80 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

444.7042

349.8932

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 365.8337, compared to 412.1805 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 46.3469 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 365.8337

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 412.1805

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 50.0780 UGX (High: 446.9246 / Low: 396.8466). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.1527 UGX (High: 368.6628 / Low: 365.5101).

October Spread (Volatile) ±50.0780

May Spread (Stable) ±3.1527

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 34.1530 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -34.1530

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 436.8033) against the same month in 2010 (average: 346.1147), the exchange rate shifted by +90.6886 (+26.20%).

2011 Avg (September) 436.8033

2010 Avg (September) 346.1147

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	367.5101	351.2286	357.7941
February	366.2063	354.4550	360.5932
March	372.8873	363.8255	368.3551
April	366.5422	357.9290	364.3962
May	368.6628	365.5101	367.0988
June	411.1248	366.7918	376.7646
July	407.7392	390.1990	398.9668
August	439.5919	401.4721	426.2295
September	448.6434	427.0015	436.8033
October	446.9246	396.8466	433.3916
November	405.8318	388.3763	399.2386
December	397.8721	362.8967	378.4534