2013 MMK to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.1769 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.5298 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.7819 UGX

2013 MMK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MMK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 3.1769. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 2.5298.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6471 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.1298 to the December average rate of 2.5532, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 3.1769 was down 99.20% compared to the 2012 peak of 396.4130, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,884 UGX

2012 Average 492,684 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 12,649 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,235.28 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

3.1874

2.4956

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.9489, compared to 2.6150 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3339 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.9489

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.6150

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 0.1790 UGX (High: 2.9157 / Low: 2.7366). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0391 UGX (High: 2.6765 / Low: 2.6374).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1790

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0391

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1055 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1055

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 3.1298) against the same month in 2012 (average: 371.8353), the exchange rate shifted by -368.7055 (-99.16%).

2013 Avg (January) 3.1298

2012 Avg (January) 371.8353

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.1769	3.1007	3.1298
February	3.1220	3.0709	3.0914
March	3.0748	2.9376	3.0135
April	2.9612	2.8670	2.9183
May	2.9157	2.7366	2.8128
June	2.7616	2.6602	2.7275
July	2.6682	2.6189	2.6411
August	2.6765	2.6374	2.6531
September	2.6747	2.6141	2.6461
October	2.6397	2.5812	2.6085
November	2.5997	2.5585	2.5880
December	2.5739	2.5298	2.5532