YEARLY HIGH
1.8816 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.1373 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.7751 UGX

2024 MMK to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the MMK to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 1.8816. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 20, dropping to 1.1373.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7443 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8118 to the December average rate of 1.7463, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 1.8816 was up 3.51% compared to the 2023 peak of 1.8178, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MMK based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,408 UGX
2023 Average 8,870 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 5,686 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,721.56 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

1.8757
1.6326
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MMK to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8095, compared to 1.7408 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0687 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8095
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7408

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was July, with a trading range of 0.6441 UGX (High: 1.7814 / Low: 1.1373). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0111 UGX (High: 1.7551 / Low: 1.7440).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.6441
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0111

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0818 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0818

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 1.8436) against the same month in 2023 (average: 1.7555), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0881 (+5.02%).

2024 Avg (February) 1.8436
2023 Avg (February) 1.7555

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.8178 1.7983 1.8118
February 1.8816 1.8166 1.8436
March 1.8732 1.8453 1.8555
April 1.8514 1.8062 1.8197
May 1.8213 1.7859 1.8041
June 1.8185 1.4933 1.7223
July 1.7814 1.1373 1.6529
August 1.7810 1.7567 1.7734
September 1.7769 1.7584 1.7688
October 1.7551 1.7440 1.7499
November 1.7664 1.7422 1.7535
December 1.7580 1.7350 1.7463